Trump's move to help Saudi Arabia build a civilian nuclear program is bad news for Israel and raises the risk of more war and a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.

• The US will let Saudi Arabia start a civilian nuclear program, with American companies like Westinghouse building it and freezing out other countries.
• The deal could later open the door to uranium enrichment, subject to a joint US-Saudi study; if the US says no, the Saudis are locked out for 10 years.
• Israel is furious, seeing any Saudi nuclear capability as a threat to its position as the region's dominant power.
• Critics call out the hypocrisy: the US is bombing Iran over its nuclear program while handing the Saudis a green light with fewer conditions.
• Unlike a Biden-era version, this deal does not require Saudi Arabia to normalize relations with Israel.

Outlook: Expect Israel and pro-Israel groups to lobby Congress hard to block the deal, even at the cost of clashing with Trump.