US-brokered peace talks just collapsed after Israel bombed Lebanon, bad news for anyone hoping the region cools down.

• A US-Iran peace deal was signed, but Israel said it won't stop fighting in Lebanon and reserves the right to keep bombing.
• After four Israeli soldiers died in southern Lebanon, Israel hit 80 sites across the country, killing dozens, many of them civilians.
• Iran then refused to attend the Switzerland talks, so JD Vance canceled his trip and the negotiations are off, at least for now.
• Israel claims a ceasefire with Hezbollah, but its own officials say troops will stay in southern Lebanon and keep attacking, so it isn't a real ceasefire.
• Most of Washington in both parties is pushing Trump to abandon the deal, while the public has turned against another Middle East war.

Outlook: The big question is whether Trump and Vance hold the line on the Iran deal or get pulled back into war alongside Israel.