Col. Douglas Macgregor on the Iran war and Trump's claims of a near deal --- A bleak about a US-Iran deal that may not exist, framed as bad news for America's standing, oil supplies, and farmers.

• Trump says he called off strikes because an Iran deal is days away, but Iran denies any deal exists and says the two sides haven't even talked.
• The on-again, off-again deal claims have repeated dozens of times since the war started, looking more like theater than real diplomacy.
• Israel, not the US, is seen as driving this war, which damages America's image as being in control of its own foreign policy.
• The fallout is real: the US oil reserve is draining fast, fertilizer costs have soared because key supplies pass through the Strait of Hormuz, and farm incomes are set to fall.
• Gulf states are now talking to Russia for protection, a sign US allies in the region, Asia, and Europe may start asking American forces to leave.

Outlook: Expect more strikes and bigger US losses, with no real deal in sight and the conflict at risk of dragging on or escalating.