Israel is showing serious cracks after 2.5 years of fighting on multiple fronts, with troop shortages, weapon shortages, and a coalition government falling apart.

• The army is 12,000 troops short and reserve soldiers are now spending a quarter of every year in uniform, with turnout for callouts dropping to 60-70%.
• Israel is running dangerously low on missile interceptors after the war with Iran, and unlike the US, it cannot quickly rebuild its stockpile.
• The ultra-Orthodox draft exemption blew up the coalition this summer, with both Heredi parties quitting after the Supreme Court ruled the exemption illegal.
• Far-right ministers Smotrich and Ben Gvir are pushing West Bank annexation and shielding violent settlers, with 80% of violent incidents IDF soldiers record there now being Jewish extremist attacks on Palestinians.
• The IDF chief warned the army will collapse if the manpower shortage is not fixed, but Netanyahu cannot act without losing his coalition.

Outlook: New elections are coming later this year and the next Israeli government will look very different, though Netanyahu has survived worse before.